Good morning, angel investors 👼
First, congratulations—Bitcoin has quietly surpassed $60K! Before your FOMO peaks and you decide to go all-in on crypto, pause. Today’s guide shares my bull market playbook, covering:
- The three phases of a bull market
- Key considerations for strategic positioning
Phase 1: Excitement (Early Bull Market)
We’re here now: Bitcoin leads the charge, optimism returns, and your crypto friends are thriving. Yet, retail investors remain hesitant. Signs include:
- Flat Google searches for "Bitcoin" or "cryptocurrency."
- No surge in crypto YouTuber subscribers.
- Non-crypto friends haven’t DM’d you about Dogecoin.
👉 Check my Twitter thread for data
Phase 2: Explosion (Mid Bull Market)
Retail floods in. Prices smash all-time highs (ATH), narratives multiply, and VC money pours into Web3. The media declares, "Crypto is back!" But bubbles form.
Phase 3: Rotation (Late Bull Market)
Capital hops between sectors (DeFi → GameFi → memecoins). Fundamentals fade; exit strategies become critical.
Strategic Takeaways
Define Your Goal: $100K? A house down payment? Adjust your portfolio accordingly.
- $10K本金 → 10x projects
- $1K本金 → 100x projects
Portfolio Allocation:
- Large-cap (>$10B): Safe, low growth (e.g., BTC, ETH).
- Mid-cap ($1B–$10B): Best risk/reward.
- Small-cap (<$1B): High-risk, high-reward.
Timing & Discipline:
- Avoid chasing "cheap" tokens—evaluate by market cap.
- Set profit-taking rules (e.g., sell 25% at 2x, 50% at 5x).
Focus Deeply: Pick 1–3 sectors (e.g., DeFi, NFTs) and track:
- On-chain data.
- Governance proposals.
- Community engagement.
- Narrative > Fundamentals: In bull markets, marketing and hype drive prices. Memecoins exemplify this.
- Capital Flow: Historically, BTC → ETH → large-cap → altcoins. This cycle may differ due to ETF-driven BTC demand.
FAQs
Q: When to exit?
A: Phase 3—when rotation intensifies and fundamentals disconnect from price.
Q: How to spot mid-cap gems?
A: Look for strong teams, clear use cases, and growing communities.
Q: Are memecoins worth it?
A: High-risk, high-reward. Allocate sparingly.
👉 Join my premium Substack for portfolio breakdowns
To the HODLers: We survived the bear. The next 18–24 months will be wild. Let’s go!