The Evolution of Crypto Investment Cycles (Part 2): A Lost Future

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How to Break Narrative Exhaustion in the Post-"Centralization Co-optation" Era?

In the conclusion of The Evolution of Crypto Investment Cycles (Part 1): Rebuilding a New World, after waves like Ethereum-led ICOs, public chain investments, DeFi, and GameFi, crypto venture capital entered a "painful transition period" where NFTs staged their "final dance" before a rapid decline. This phase was marked by unforeseen black swan events—from LUNA's collapse and 3AC's implosion to FTX's sudden downfall and Genesis' bankruptcy—alongside relentless regulatory crackdowns by U.S. agencies like the SEC and CFTC.

During the bear market, dwindling liquidity forced the industry to rely on cyclical "sector rotations." Bitcoin and L2 ecosystems emerged as rare bright spots, laying groundwork for later milestones like Bitcoin and Ethereum spot ETFs. Yet, by 2024—15 years after Bitcoin's genesis block and its fourth halving—crypto's original vision of a "peer-to-peer electronic cash system" seemed increasingly distant. The once-celebrated ideals of sovereign individualism, network states, and decentralization faded, replaced by an inexorable march toward "centralized co-optation."

Following Part 1's recap of 2016–2021, this article analyzes key events and trends from 2022–2024, offering insights into the current cycle's trajectory.


TL;DR (Key Takeaways)


The Last Crypto Boom: The NFT Frenzy

By 2022, NFTs remained the undisputed hotspot. Celebrities like Jay Chou and Edison Chen launched short-lived projects, while Azuki’s anime-style art became a cultural phenomenon. Decentraland hosted its "first Metaverse Fashion Week," attracting luxury brands, and StepN’s "Move-to-Earn" sneaker NFTs went viral. OpenSea peaked with a $13.3B valuation after a $300M Series C.

👉 Explore how NFT platforms adapt post-boom

Yet, beneath the surface, LUNA, UST, 3AC, and FTX loomed as impending catastrophes.


The Darkest Year: A Chain Reaction of Collapses

Despite this, Q1 2022 set a record with $10B+ in funding, driven by L1/L2 projects like Near, Polygon, and Aptos. Ethereum’s PoS transition in September marked another pivotal moment.


The Crypto Revival: Bitcoin Ecosystems and Meme Coins

2023’s recovery was fueled by Bitcoin’s "old-tree-new-blossom" phase:

👉 Why Meme coins dominate cycles

Infrastructure investments surged, e.g., Babylon ($70M Series A) and LayerZero ($30B valuation). AI-crypto hybrids like MyShell and Worldcoin gained traction.


Regulatory Milestones: Progress or Tombstones?

Key insight: Crypto’s deepening ties to traditional markets dilute its "hedge" appeal, signaling a loss of autonomy.


Breaking Path Dependency

Investment traps:

  1. "Next Unicorn" obsession: Over-reliance on past successes (e.g., Solana backers chasing "the next SOL").
  2. Siloed thinking: Ignoring跨界 innovations (e.g., Telegram’s Tap2Earn via NotCoin).

Solutions:


The Rainmakers: Active Investors (2022–2024)

Western capital now dominates upstream investments, while Asian players pivot to mass adoption (e.g., TON ecosystems).


Macro Trends: Multi-Chain Worlds and Western Dominance

Conclusion: Liquidity is the linchpin—asset distribution, tech innovation, and resource allocation all serve its flow. Meme coins’ PVP markets and DeFi’s resilience underscore this truth. As the Fed’s policies loom large, crypto’s next chapter hinges on adapting to liquidity’s eternal reign.


Acknowledgments: Odaily’s Mandy, editor Ark, and YBB Capital’s Erin. Special thanks to source materials cited here.