Prominent crypto analysts are identifying critical signals that could mark the start of the next altcoin season, with Bitcoin dominance trends serving as the primary indicator.
While Bitcoin has achieved multiple all-time highs in the current cycle, many major altcoins remain below their previous peaks—a notable deviation from past bull markets where altcoins rallied concurrently with Bitcoin. Analysts now highlight pivotal trends in Bitcoin dominance that may trigger the long-awaited altcoin season.
Bitcoin Dominance Approaches Make-or-Break Level
Bitcoin dominance measures Bitcoin’s market capitalization as a percentage of the total cryptocurrency market. According to Rekt Capital, Bitcoin dominance faces a formidable resistance level near 71%, a threshold historically challenging to surpass. Failure to break this resistance could catalyze capital rotation into altcoins.
👉 Why Bitcoin dominance trends matter for altcoin investors
Key observations:
- An ascending trendline (2023–2025) suggests Bitcoin is currently gaining market share.
- Altcoin season typically begins when Bitcoin dominance reverses from such resistance levels.
RSI Signals Overbought Bitcoin Dominance
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for Bitcoin dominance indicates rising momentum but nearing overbought territory—a precursor to potential reversals in past cycles. Analyst Mister Crypto notes:
"Bitcoin dominance has topped out. Altseason next!"
― Mister Crypto (@misterrcrypto)
Historical patterns show:
- Dominance peaks in 2017, 2021, and 2025 coincided with RSI overbought conditions.
- Subsequent reversals led to altcoin outperformance.
Cyclical Patterns Hint at Imminent Altcoin Rally
Master of Crypto’s analysis reveals Bitcoin dominance cycles lasting ~3.34 years (1221 days), mirroring 2017 and 2021 volatility phases. Current data suggests:
- 70% dominance threshold: A repeat of 2021’s pattern where dominance stalled at 70% before alts surged.
- Timeframe alignment: The 2025 cycle aligns with previous altseason triggers.
👉 How to identify altcoin season using cyclical trends
FAQs: Understanding Altcoin Season Dynamics
Q: What defines an altcoin season?
A: A market phase where altcoins collectively outperform Bitcoin, often marked by rapid price appreciation and increased trading volume.
Q: How long do altseasons typically last?
A: Historically, altseasons range from 2–6 months, though duration varies by cycle intensity.
Q: Which altcoins benefit most during altseason?
A: Large-cap projects (e.g., Ethereum, Solana) usually lead initial rallies, followed by mid/low-cap gems.
Q: Can Bitcoin dominance drop without an altseason?
A: Yes—if capital exits crypto entirely. True altseasons require sustained inflows into altcoin markets.
Q: What risks should investors consider?
A: Altcoins often experience sharper corrections post-season. Diversification and profit-taking strategies are critical.
Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and not financial advice. Conduct independent research before investing. The author’s views do not represent institutional opinions. Cryptocurrency markets are volatile; invest responsibly.