The cryptocurrency market experienced a significant downturn in late February 2025, pushing Bitcoin (BTC) to $81,386—its lowest level since November 2024. While the dip briefly fell below $80,000, this correction sparked uncertainty about whether the bull market had concluded.
Despite strong regulatory support for digital assets—including the SEC dropping several cases against crypto companies—the market volatility left investors questioning whether to hold or sell their Bitcoin. To shed light on BTC's future, Finbold consulted OpenAI's advanced AI model, ChatGPT-4o, for its price prediction for December 31, 2025.
ChatGPT’s Bitcoin Price Target for December 31, 2025
ChatGPT analyzed the situation and attributed the recent downturn to macroeconomic factors, including trade war fears, inflation concerns, and interest rate uncertainty. However, it emphasized that institutional adoption and regulatory developments remain favorable for Bitcoin.
The AI referenced historical post-halving cycles, noting that sharp corrections often precede major rallies. Based on this analysis, ChatGPT projected Bitcoin would reach $190,000 by December 31, 2025—a 133.46% increase from its current price.
👉 Discover how Bitcoin halvings impact long-term price trends
If this prediction holds, a $1,000 investment today** could grow to **$2,334.60, yielding a $1,334.60 profit.
Addressing ChatGPT’s Calendar Misstep
While ChatGPT was confident in its forecast, it initially misstated the timing of the next Bitcoin halving, suggesting it would occur in April 2025—when, in reality, the last halving happened ten months prior. After correcting this error, the AI reaffirmed its $190,000 target, aligning with historical trends where cycle peaks typically emerge 12–18 months post-halving.
How Long Will Bitcoin’s Downturn Persist?
Though ChatGPT’s long-term outlook is bullish—matching many expert predictions—it didn’t specify how low BTC might drop before rebounding. Technical analysis (TA) offers more clarity, suggesting a potential bottom between $76,000 and $78,000.
Key indicators, such as the 50-week exponential moving average (1W50EMA), point to $76,200 as a critical support level. Analysts anticipate a rebound in March, as reported by Finbold on February 28.
👉 Learn how technical analysis can help predict Bitcoin’s bottom
FAQs
1. What factors influenced ChatGPT’s Bitcoin price prediction?
ChatGPT cited macroeconomic uncertainty, institutional adoption, and historical halving cycles as key drivers.
2. How accurate have past AI predictions been for Bitcoin?
While AI models like ChatGPT provide data-driven insights, cryptocurrency markets remain highly volatile, making exact predictions challenging.
3. When is the next Bitcoin halving expected?
The last halving occurred in April 2024; the next is projected for 2028.
4. What’s the safest strategy during a Bitcoin downturn?
Dollar-cost averaging (DCA) and monitoring key support levels can help mitigate risk.
5. Could Bitcoin surpass $200,000 in 2025?
Given historical trends and ChatGPT’s $190,000 target, it’s plausible—but dependent on market conditions.